Thursday, April 09, 2009

FT: Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world By Nassim Nicholas Taleb

From Financial Times: Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world

Surprise happens.  Some steps to accommodate surprise so the we are not ruined by it, by Nassim Taleb.

Click the link for details.
  1. What is fragile should break early while it is still small.
  2. No socialisation of losses and privatisation of gains.
  3. People who were driving a school bus blindfolded (and crashed it) should never be given a new bus.
  4. Do not let someone making an “incentive” bonus manage a nuclear plant – or your financial risks.
  5. Counter-balance complexity with simplicity.
  6. Do not give children sticks of dynamite, even if they come with a warning.
  7. Only Ponzi schemes should depend on confidence. Governments should never need to “restore confidence”.
  8. Do not give an addict more drugs if he has withdrawal pains.
  9. Citizens should not depend on financial assets or fallible “expert” advice for their retirement.
  10. Make an omelette with the broken eggs.

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